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But lets think about this some more. Step 3. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Are You a Miracle? Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Probability is a pure odd. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Which ones bigger? Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Yet here we are. Are they gross exaggerations? Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Why? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Step 1. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Step 2. June 5. Step 1. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Same to all of us. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Whoa. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Just go have some fucking fun! Step 3. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Now things start getting interesting. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Part of HuffPost Wellness. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Then the probability of Mr. Are they gross exaggerations? So what's the probability of your being born? The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Step 2. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Thats going to take a LONG time. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. So whats the probability of your existing? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? On the Probability of Your Being Born.. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. But on all probability it would. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible.